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Exports omit players projected for zero — anyone out, on reserve or on bye.

How accurate are they?Week 1 resultsHow these are built

Week 1 QB Rankings

35 players ranked · HALF scoring · Updated

Past week — Week 7 is current.

Week 1 baseline. No 2026 games have been played yet, so these rankings are built from current depth charts, last season's usage, and Vegas Week 1 totals — not from observed play. They are replaced by the full usage model once Week 1 is complete.

Justin Herbert of LAC is the number one QB in Week 1 HALF scoring at home against ARI, in a game where his offense is implied for 28.8 points, projected for 19.3 points. 8 QBs sit in tiers 1 and 2 combined, and those are the ones you start without thinking.

Scored against what actually happened. Each player is graded against the last board published before his own game kicked off. how this works

VerdictActualResult

Tier 1

  • QB1—
    start
    Justin Herbert

    Justin Herbert

    LAC · QB

    Carried a heavy workload last season, in one of Week 1's best scoring spots at 28.8 implied.

    LAC · vs ARI · 19.3 PROJ · 28.8 IMP · high confidence

    Actual 13.3 · QB21 +205 touches · 100% of snaps

Tier 2

  • QB2—
    start
    Joe Burrow

    Joe Burrow

    CIN · QB

    Carried a heavy workload last season, in one of Week 1's best scoring spots at 27.0 implied.

    CIN · vs TB · 18.5 PROJ · 27.0 IMP · high confidence

    Actual 14.2 · QB18 +165 touches · 100% of snaps

  • QB3—
    start
    Jared Goff

    Jared Goff

    DET · QB

    Held a featured role last season, in one of Week 1's best scoring spots at 28.2 implied.

    DET · vs NO · 18.4 PROJ · 28.3 IMP · high confidence

    Actual 16.4 · QB16 +132 touches · 100% of snaps

  • QB4—
    start
    Matthew Stafford

    Matthew Stafford

    LA · QB

    Carried a heavy workload last season, in one of Week 1's best scoring spots at 26.0 implied.

    LA · vs SF · 17.9 PROJ · 26.0 IMP · high confidence

    Actual 4.1 · QB29 +252 touches · 84% of snaps

  • QB5—
    start
    Kyler Murray

    Kyler Murray

    MIN · QB

    New to MIN after ARI and steps in as the starter, carried a heavy workload last season.

    MIN · vs GB · 17.9 PROJ · 24.0 IMP · medium confidence

    Actual -0.4 · QB35 +302 touches · 17% of snaps

  • QB6—
    start
    Trevor Lawrence

    Trevor Lawrence

    JAX · QB

    Carried a heavy workload last season.

    JAX · vs CLE · 17.6 PROJ · 24.0 IMP · high confidence

    Actual 26.1 · QB5 -12 touches · 88% of snaps

  • QB7—
    start
    Caleb Williams

    Caleb Williams

    CHI · QB

    Carried a heavy workload last season.

    CHI · @ CAR · 17.2 PROJ · 24.8 IMP · high confidence

    Actual 37.3 · QB1 -610 touches · 100% of snaps

  • QB8—
    start
    Josh Allen

    Josh Allen

    BUF · QB

    Carried a heavy workload last season.

    BUF · @ HOU · 16.9 PROJ · 23.0 IMP · high confidence

    Actual 35.7 · QB2 -66 touches · 100% of snaps

Tier 3

  • QB9—
    start
    Jalen Hurts

    Jalen Hurts

    PHI · QB

    Held a featured role last season.

    PHI · vs WAS · 16.3 PROJ · 24.5 IMP · high confidence

    Actual 24.7 · QB7 -27 touches · 100% of snaps

  • QB10—
    start
    Patrick Mahomes

    Patrick Mahomes

    KC · QB

    Carried a heavy workload last season.

    KC · vs DEN · 16.1 PROJ · 23.3 IMP · high confidence

    Actual 21.7 · QB9 -17 touches · 100% of snaps

  • QB11—
    start
    Sam Darnold

    Sam Darnold

    SEA · QB

    Held a featured role last season.

    SEA · vs NE · 15.9 PROJ · 24.0 IMP · high confidence

    Actual 0.5 · QB30 +1910% of snaps

  • QB12—
    start
    Aaron Rodgers

    Aaron Rodgers

    PIT · QB

    Carried a heavy workload last season.

    PIT · vs ATL · 15.8 PROJ · 23.0 IMP · high confidence

    Actual 12.5 · QB22 +103 touches · 100% of snaps

  • QB13—
    flex
    Bo Nix

    Bo Nix

    DEN · QB

    Carried a heavy workload last season.

    DEN · @ KC · 15.8 PROJ · 20.3 IMP · high confidence

    Actual 5.4 · QB28 +153 touches · 100% of snaps

  • QB14—
    flex
    Jaxson Dart

    Jaxson Dart

    NYG · QB

    Held a featured role last season.

    NYG · vs DAL · 15.6 PROJ · 22.8 IMP · high confidence

    Actual 26.6 · QB4 -1011 touches · 100% of snaps

  • QB15—
    flex
    Baker Mayfield

    Baker Mayfield

    TB · QB

    Held a featured role last season.

    TB · @ CIN · 15.2 PROJ · 23.5 IMP · high confidence

    Actual 11.6 · QB24 +95 touches · 100% of snaps

  • QB16—
    flex
    Dak Prescott

    Dak Prescott

    DAL · QB

    Held a featured role last season, in one of Week 1's best scoring spots at 25.8 implied.

    DAL · @ NYG · 14.9 PROJ · 25.8 IMP · medium confidence

    Actual 14.4 · QB17 +12 touches · 100% of snaps

Tier 4

  • QB17—
    flex
    Brock Purdy

    Brock Purdy

    SF · QB

    Held a featured role last season.

    SF · @ LA · 14.9 PROJ · 22.5 IMP · high confidence

    Actual 21.1 · QB10 -75 touches · 100% of snaps

  • QB18—
    flex
    Tyler Shough

    Tyler Shough

    NO · QB

    Carried a heavy workload last season.

    NO · @ DET · 14.8 PROJ · 21.3 IMP · high confidence

    Actual 23.2 · QB8 -104 touches · 100% of snaps

  • QB19—
    sit
    Bryce Young

    Bryce Young

    CAR · QB

    Held a featured role last season.

    CAR · vs CHI · 14.7 PROJ · 21.8 IMP · high confidence

    Actual 31.4 · QB3 -162 touches · 90% of snaps

Tier 5

  • QB20—
    sit
    Kirk Cousins

    Kirk Cousins

    LV · QB

    New to LV after ATL and steps in as the starter, held a featured role last season.

    LV · vs MIA · 13.6 PROJ · 22.0 IMP · medium confidence

    Actual 13.8 · QB20 —5 touches · 100% of snaps

  • QB21—
    sit
    C.J. Stroud

    C.J. Stroud

    HOU · QB

    Held a featured role last season.

    HOU · vs BUF · 13.3 PROJ · 21.5 IMP · high confidence

    Actual 16.5 · QB15 -62 touches · 100% of snaps

Tier 6

  • QB22—
    sit
    Drake Maye

    Drake Maye

    NE · QB

    Held a featured role last season.

    NE · @ SEA · 12.7 PROJ · 20.5 IMP · high confidence

    Actual 9.8 · QB25 +37 touches · 100% of snaps

  • QB23—
    sit
    Jayden Daniels

    Jayden Daniels

    WAS · QB

    Held a featured role last season.

    WAS · @ PHI · 12.7 PROJ · 20.0 IMP · high confidence

    Actual 17.7 · QB12 -115 touches · 100% of snaps

  • QB24—
    sit
    Lamar Jackson

    Lamar Jackson

    BAL · QB

    Had a steady role last season, in one of Week 1's best scoring spots at 25.2 implied.

    BAL · @ IND · 12.6 PROJ · 25.3 IMP · medium confidence

    Actual 25.0 · QB6 -187 touches · 100% of snaps

Tier 7

  • QB25—
    sit
    Jacoby Brissett

    Jacoby Brissett

    ARI · QB

    Held a featured role last season, in a low-scoring spot at 18.8 implied.

    ARI · @ LAC · 12.5 PROJ · 18.8 IMP · high confidence

    Actual 16.5 · QB14 -116 touches · 100% of snaps

  • QB26—
    sit
    Jordan Love

    Jordan Love

    GB · QB

    Had a steady role last season.

    GB · @ MIN · 12.4 PROJ · 22.5 IMP · medium confidence

    Actual 19.5 · QB11 -151 touch · 100% of snaps

  • QB27—
    sit
    Daniel Jones

    Daniel Jones

    IND · QB

    Had a steady role last season.

    IND · vs BAL · 11.1 PROJ · 22.3 IMP · medium confidence

    Actual 9.0 · QB27 —1 touch · 100% of snaps

  • QB28—
    sit
    Cam Ward

    Cam Ward

    TEN · QB

    Had a steady role last season.

    TEN · vs NYJ · 10.4 PROJ · 20.5 IMP · medium confidence

    Actual 11.7 · QB23 -54 touches · 100% of snaps

  • QB29—
    sit
    Geno Smith

    Geno Smith

    NYJ · QB

    New to NYJ after LV and steps in as the starter, had a steady role last season, in a low-scoring spot at 19.0 implied.

    NYJ · @ TEN · 10.0 PROJ · 19.0 IMP · medium confidence

    Actual 9.3 · QB26 -36 touches · 100% of snaps

  • QB30—
    sit
    Tua Tagovailoa

    Tua Tagovailoa

    ATL · QB

    New to ATL after MIA and steps in as the starter, had a steady role last season, in a low-scoring spot at 19.5 implied.

    ATL · @ PIT · 9.9 PROJ · 19.5 IMP · medium confidence

    Actual 0.0 · QB31 +1No snaps recorded

  • QB31—
    sit
    Malik Willis

    Malik Willis

    MIA · QB

    New to MIA after GB and steps in as the starter, had a steady role last season, in a low-scoring spot at 18.5 implied.

    MIA · @ LV · 8.8 PROJ · 18.5 IMP · low confidence

    Actual 16.7 · QB13 -186 touches · 100% of snaps

  • QB32—
    sit
    Deshaun Watson

    Deshaun Watson

    CLE · QB

    Undrafted rookie, already listed as the starter, no NFL usage to go on yet, in a low-scoring spot at 16.5 implied.

    CLE · @ JAX · 4.0 PROJ · 16.5 IMP · low confidence

    Actual 14.0 · QB19 -136 touches · 100% of snaps

  • QB33—
    sit
    Justin Fields

    Justin Fields

    KC · QB

    New to KC after NYJ, held a featured role last season.

    KC · vs DEN · 0.3 PROJ · 23.3 IMP · low confidence

    Actual 0.0 · QB32 -1No snaps recorded

  • QB34—
    sit
    Fernando Mendoza

    Fernando Mendoza

    LV · QB

    First-round rookie, pick 1, second on the depth chart, no NFL usage to go on yet.

    LV · vs MIA · 0.2 PROJ · 22.0 IMP · low confidence

    Actual 0.0 · QB34 —No snaps recorded

  • QB35—
    sit
    Shedeur Sanders

    Shedeur Sanders

    CLE · QB

    Behind the starter on the depth chart, held a featured role last season, in a low-scoring spot at 16.5 implied.

    CLE · @ JAX · 0.2 PROJ · 16.5 IMP · low confidence

    Actual 0.0 · QB33 -2No snaps recorded

Underlying NFL data via nflverse. Betting lines from Lee Sharpe's games file. Rankings are FantasyWeek.us originals.