Week 1 Fantasy Football Rankings Results — How Rex's Rankings Did

377 players graded · PPR scoring · Boards published Sep 7, 2026, 8:27 AM EDT

Week 1 is scored: 377 ranked players graded against what they actually did in PPR scoring, across 8 boards. The RB board tracked the results most closely (rank correlation 0.76, average miss 12.5 spots); the K board tracked them least closely (0.01, 10.9 spots).

Board accuracy

Board	Graded	Rank correlation	Mean rank error	Start-call hit rate
QB	35	0.29	9.3of 35	42%12 start calls, top 12
RB	83	0.76	12.5of 83	75%24 start calls, top 24
WR	131	0.57	26.9of 131	50%36 start calls, top 36
TE	64	0.30	17.1of 64	17%12 start calls, top 12
FLEX	278	0.59	55.6of 278	51%398 contested pairs
Superflex	313	0.62	59.3of 313	50%473 contested pairs
Defense	32	0.06	10.2of 32	50%8 start calls, top 12
Kicker	32	0.01	10.9of 32	30%10 start calls, top 12

Start-call hit rates assume a 12-team league starting 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 DST and 1 K. Rank correlation compares the order the board set against the order players actually finished in. Mean rank error is the average number of spots each player finished away from his ranking; it scales with board size — compare it within a board across weeks, not between boards. Rank correlation is the scale-free measure. FLEX and superflex have no fixed lineup slot, so no start-call hit rate applies. Flex-call rate instead asks how often the board put the better player on top when two closely ranked players finished far apart.

Weekly kicker and defense ranking is close to noise, for everyone. Both boards are published because a lineup needs them, not because the ordering carries much signal. Where a baseline comparison exists for the week, it is shown on the accuracy page.

Versus the baselines

The baseline comparison for this week has not been computed yet. When it is, this section shows how the board did against simply ranking players by season points per game and by last week's points.

What we got right

Smallest rank error among players ranked inside the top 24 of their board.

Player	Team	Ranked	Finished	Points
Kirk Cousins5 touches · 100% of snaps	LV	QB20	QB20	13.8
Travis Etienne18 touches · 59% of snaps	NO	RB16	RB16	14.8
Cam Skattebo18 touches · 61% of snaps	NYG	RB18	RB18	14.1
Cincinnati Defense	CIN	DST13	DST14	4.0
Washington Defense	WAS	DST19	DST18	3.0
Cam Little	JAX	K8	K7	12.0
Eddy Pineiro	SF	K9	K8	11.0
Drew Stevens	WAS	K23	K24	6.0

What we got wrong

Largest misses among players ranked inside the top 24 — the ones that cost points in a starting lineup.

Player	Team	Ranked	Finished	Points
Ja'Marr Chase4 touches · 94% of snaps	CIN	WR2	WR81	3.2
Colston Loveland2 touches · 87% of snaps	CHI	TE1	TE63	0.0
Quentin Johnston6 touches · 78% of snaps	LAC	WR16	WR78	3.7
Davante Adams6 touches · 54% of snaps	LA	WR9	WR63	5.6
Brock BowersNo snaps recorded	LV	TE9	TE62	0.0
Tre Tucker4 touches · 71% of snaps	LV	WR24	WR72	4.7
Kyle Pitts1 touch · 63% of snaps	ATL	TE10	TE57	0.0
A.J. Brown4 touches · 44% of snaps	NE	WR17	WR64	5.6

Surprises

Ranked low and delivered anyway — an error in the other direction, leaving points on the bench.

Player	Team	Ranked	Finished	Points
Mike Gesicki7 touches · 33% of snaps	CIN	TE23	TE4	18.8
Seattle Defense	SEA	DST20	DST2	13.0
Lamar Jackson7 touches · 100% of snaps	BAL	QB24	QB6	25.0
Kenneth Walker III29 touches · 68% of snaps	KC	RB19	RB2	34.1
Bryce Young2 touches · 90% of snaps	CAR	QB19	QB3	31.4
Trey Smack	GB	K20	K5	13.0
Evan McPherson	CIN	K15	K1	19.0
Tyler Bass	BUF	K18	K4	13.0

Every graded Week 1 board

Underlying NFL data via nflverse. Betting lines from Lee Sharpe's games file. Rankings are FantasyWeek.us originals.