Rex's Rankings

Download

Exports omit players projected for zero — anyone out, on reserve or on bye.

How accurate are they?Week 4 results How these are built

Week 4 QB Rankings

51 players ranked · HALF scoring · Updated Oct 4, 2026, 11:35 AM EDT

Past week — Week 8 is current.

Josh Allen of BUF is the number one QB in Week 4 HALF scoring at home against NE, in a game where his offense is implied for 28.3 points, projected for 21.9 points. 3 QBs sit in tiers 1 and 2 combined, and those are the ones you start without thinking. The week's real question mark is Jacoby Brissett at QB5, where confidence is low because strong usage, week-to-week role has been volatile.

Scored against what actually happened. Each player is graded against the last board published before his own game kicked off. how this works

RankPlayerProjVerdictActualResult

Tier 1

QB1

Josh Allen

BUF · QB

vs NE · 28.3 implied · medium confidence· —

Strong usage, offense implied for 28.2.

21.9Projstart18.5QB10+95 touches · 100% of snaps

Tier 2

QB2

Jared Goff

DET · QB

@ CAR · 27.5 implied · medium confidence· ▲ 1

Strong usage, offense implied for 27.5.

20.8Projstart——

QB3

Tyler Shough

NO · QB

vs ATL · 24.5 implied · medium confidence· ▼ 1

Strong usage.

20.4Projstart15.9QB14+112 touches · 100% of snaps

Tier 3

QB4

Joe Burrow

CIN · QB

vs JAX · 27.0 implied · medium confidence· ▲ 7

Solid role, offense implied for 27.0.

19.0Projstart23.7QB2-23 touches · 100% of snaps

Tier 4

QB5

Jacoby Brissett

ARI · QB

@ NYG · 23.5 implied · low confidence· ▲ 15

Strong usage, week-to-week role has been volatile.

18.0Projstart10.4QB25+204 touches · 100% of snaps

QB6

C.J. Stroud

HOU · QB

vs DAL · 25.8 implied · medium confidence· ▲ 2

Solid role, offense implied for 25.8.

17.6Projstart7.9QB30+244 touches · 100% of snaps

QB7

Dak Prescott

DAL · QB

@ HOU · 22.8 implied · medium confidence· —

Strong usage.

17.6Projstart0.0QB33+26No snaps recorded

QB8

Daniel Jones

IND · QB

@ WAS · 25.5 implied · medium confidence· ▲ 16

Solid role, offense implied for 25.5.

17.5Projstart23.1QB3-52 touches · 100% of snaps

QB9

Lamar Jackson

BAL · QB

vs TEN · 27.0 implied · medium confidence· ▼ 4

Solid role, offense implied for 27.0.

17.5Projstart18.1QB11+22 touches · 100% of snaps

QB10

Bryce Young

CAR · QB

vs DET · 24.0 implied · medium confidence· ▲ 2

Solid role.

16.9Projstart18.9QB9-12 touches · 52% of snaps

QB11

Bo Nix

DEN · QB

@ SF · 22.8 implied · medium confidence· ▲ 6

Solid role.

16.4Projstart21.5QB6-53 touches · 100% of snaps

QB12

Patrick Mahomes

KC · QB

@ LV · 26.0 implied · medium confidence· ▼ 8

Solid role, offense implied for 26.0.

16.3Projstart17.0QB13+12 touches · 100% of snaps

Tier 5

QB13

Matthew Stafford

LA · QB

@ PHI · 23.0 implied · medium confidence· ▲ 6

Solid role.

16.1Projflex9.7QB26+133 touches · 100% of snaps

QB14

Geno Smith

NYJ · QB

@ CHI · 20.0 implied · medium confidence· ▼ 5

Strong usage.

15.4Projflex13.6QB16+22 touches · 98% of snaps

QB15

Aaron Rodgers

PIT · QB

@ CLE · 20.5 implied · medium confidence· ▼ 2

Solid role.

15.3Projflex8.8QB29+14100% of snaps

QB16

Brock Purdy

SF · QB

vs DEN · 25.8 implied · medium confidence· ▼ 6

Offense implied for 25.8.

15.1Projflex22.0QB5-11100% of snaps

QB17

Kirk Cousins

LV · QB

vs KC · 21.5 implied · medium confidence· ▲ 4

Solid role.

14.9Projflex22.6QB4-13100% of snaps

QB18

Trevor Lawrence

JAX · QB

@ CIN · 24.5 implied · medium confidence· ▲ 5

Solid role.

14.6Projflex0.0QB34+16Listed out · No snaps recorded

QB19

Deshaun Watson

CLE · QB

vs PIT · 18.0 implied · medium confidence· ▼ 1

Strong usage, low-scoring spot (18.0 implied).

14.3Projsit19.6QB8-1110 touches · 100% of snaps

QB20

Jordan Love

GB · QB

@ TB · 20.8 implied · medium confidence· ▼ 5

Solid role.

13.9Projsit13.1QB19-13 touches · 100% of snaps

Tier 6

QB21

Malik Willis

MIA · QB

@ MIN · 14.3 implied · low confidence· ▲ 7

Solid role, low-scoring spot (14.2 implied), week-to-week role has been volatile.

13.7Projsit12.9QB21—7 touches · 100% of snaps

QB22

Jalen Hurts

PHI · QB

vs LA · 19.5 implied · medium confidence· ▼ 16

Solid role, low-scoring spot (19.5 implied).

13.7Projsit13.1QB20-24 touches · 100% of snaps

QB23

Drake Maye

NE · QB

@ BUF · 21.3 implied · medium confidence· ▼ 7

Solid role.

13.4Projsit2.5QB32+92 touches · 100% of snaps

Tier 7

QB24

Justin Herbert

LAC · QB

@ SEA · 17.8 implied · medium confidence· ▼ 2

Solid role, low-scoring spot (17.8 implied).

12.6Projsit13.5QB17-75 touches · 100% of snaps

Tier 8

QB25

Michael Penix Jr.

ATL · QB

@ NO · 23.0 implied · low confidence· ▲ 1

Back from injury, blended with his 2025 role, only 1 games of data.

12.3Projsit12.7QB22-32 touches · 100% of snaps

QB26

Marcus Mariota

WAS · QB

vs IND · 21.0 implied · low confidence· ▲ 5

Only 2 games of data.

11.8Projsit9.6QB27+17 touches · 100% of snaps

QB27

Kyler Murray

MIN · QB

vs MIA · 24.3 implied · low confidence· ▲ 2

Back from injury, blended with his 2025 role, only 2 games of data.

11.6Projsit——

QB28

Cam Ward

TEN · QB

@ BAL · 15.5 implied · medium confidence· ▼ 1

Solid role, low-scoring spot (15.5 implied).

11.6Projsit11.5QB23-56 touches · 100% of snaps

QB29

Sam Darnold

SEA · QB

vs LAC · 24.8 implied · low confidence· ▲ 1

Back from injury, blended with his 2025 role, only 2 games of data.

11.3Projsit15.6QB15-144 touches · 100% of snaps

QB30

Jameis Winston

NYG · QB

vs ARI · 21.0 implied · low confidence· ▼ 5

Only 2 games of data.

10.3Projsit13.3QB18-123 touches · 100% of snaps

QB31

Carson Wentz

MIN · QB

vs MIA · 24.3 implied · low confidence· ▲ 2

Only 2 games of data.

4.7Projsit18.0QB12-19100% of snaps

QB32

Drew Lock

SEA · QB

vs LAC · 24.8 implied · low confidence· —

Only 2 games of data.

4.5Projsit0.0QB35+3No snaps recorded

QB33

Tyson Bagent

CHI · QB

vs NYJ · 23.5 implied · low confidence· ▲ 1

Thin usage, only 1 games of data.

3.0Projsit0.0QB36+3No snaps recorded

QB34

Jalon Daniels

TB · QB

vs GB · 17.8 implied · low confidence· —

Thin usage, low-scoring spot (17.8 implied), only 1 games of data.

1.1Projsit5.3QB31-31 touch · 16% of snaps

QB35

Tommy DeVito

NE · QB

@ BUF · 21.3 implied · low confidence· —

Thin usage, only 1 games of data.

0.8Projsit11.4QB24-118 touches · 100% of snaps

QB36

Trey Lance

LAC · QB

@ SEA · 17.8 implied · low confidence· ▼ 1

Listed questionable, no games yet this season, projected from his 2025 role, thin usage, low-scoring spot (17.8 implied).

0.5ProjsitQuestionable0.0QB37+1No snaps recorded

QB37

Stetson Bennett

LA · QB

@ PHI · 23.0 implied · low confidence· ▼ 1

Thin usage, only 1 games of data.

0.5Projsit0.0QB38+1Listed questionable · No snaps recorded

QB38

Mac Jones

SF · QB

vs DEN · 25.8 implied · low confidence· ▼ 1

Thin usage, offense implied for 25.8, only 1 games of data.

0.4Projsit0.0QB39+1No snaps recorded

QB39

Case Keenum

CHI · QB

vs NYJ · 23.5 implied · low confidence· —

Strong usage, only 1 games of data.

0.4Projsit0.0QB40+1No snaps recorded

QB40

Cooper Rush

ATL · QB

@ NO · 23.0 implied · low confidence· ▼ 1

Only 2 games of data.

0.2Projsit0.0QB50+10No snaps recorded

QB41

Mason Rudolph

PIT · QB

@ CLE · 20.5 implied · low confidence· ▼ 3

Thin usage, only 1 games of data.

0.2Projsit0.0QB41—No snaps recorded

QB42

Jack Strand

ATL · QB

@ NO · 23.0 implied · low confidence· ▼ 1

Thin usage, only 1 games of data.

0.1Projsit0.0QB51+9No snaps recorded

QB43

Kenny Pickett

CAR · QB

vs DET · 24.0 implied · low confidence· ▼ 3

Thin usage, only 2 games of data.

0.1Projsit0.0QB42-1No snaps recorded

QB44

Andy Dalton

PHI · QB

vs LA · 19.5 implied · low confidence· —

Thin usage, low-scoring spot (19.5 implied), only 1 games of data.

0.0Projsit8.8QB28-164 touches · 100% of snaps

QB45

Nick Mullens

JAX · QB

@ CIN · 24.5 implied · low confidence· ▼ 3

Listed practice squad — not ranked to play.

0.0Projsit0.0QB43-2No snaps recorded

QB46

Baker Mayfield

TB · QB

vs GB · 17.8 implied · medium confidence· ▼ 32

Listed out — not ranked to play.

0.0ProjsitOut0.0QB44-2No snaps recorded

QB47

Jayden Daniels

WAS · QB

vs IND · 21.0 implied · low confidence· ▼ 4

Listed out — not ranked to play.

0.0ProjsitOut0.0QB45-2Listed out · No snaps recorded

QB48

Caleb Williams

CHI · QB

vs NYJ · 23.5 implied · low confidence· ▼ 4

Listed out — not ranked to play.

0.0ProjsitOut0.0QB46-2Listed out · No snaps recorded

QB49

Shedeur Sanders

CLE · QB

vs PIT · 18.0 implied · low confidence· —

Thin usage, low-scoring spot (18.0 implied), only 1 games of data.

0.0Projsit0.0QB47-2No snaps recorded

QB50

Jaxson Dart

NYG · QB

vs ARI · 21.0 implied · low confidence· ▼ 5

Out for the season — not ranked to play.

0.0Projsit0.0QB48-2No snaps recorded

QB51

Dillon Gabriel

CLE · QB

vs PIT · 18.0 implied · low confidence· ▼ 5

Listed reserve — not ranked to play.

0.0Projsit0.0QB49-2No snaps recorded

VerdictActualResult

Tier 1

QB1—
start
Josh Allen
BUF · QB
Strong usage, offense implied for 28.2.
BUF · vs NE · 21.9 PROJ · 28.3 IMP · medium confidence
Actual 18.5 · QB10 +95 touches · 100% of snaps

Tier 2

QB2▲ 1
start
Jared Goff
DET · QB
Strong usage, offense implied for 27.5.
DET · @ CAR · 20.8 PROJ · 27.5 IMP · medium confidence
QB3▼ 1
start
Tyler Shough
NO · QB
Strong usage.
NO · vs ATL · 20.4 PROJ · 24.5 IMP · medium confidence
Actual 15.9 · QB14 +112 touches · 100% of snaps

Tier 3

QB4▲ 7
start
Joe Burrow
CIN · QB
Solid role, offense implied for 27.0.
CIN · vs JAX · 19.0 PROJ · 27.0 IMP · medium confidence
Actual 23.7 · QB2 -23 touches · 100% of snaps

Tier 4

QB5▲ 15
start
Jacoby Brissett
ARI · QB
Strong usage, week-to-week role has been volatile.
ARI · @ NYG · 18.0 PROJ · 23.5 IMP · low confidence
Actual 10.4 · QB25 +204 touches · 100% of snaps
QB6▲ 2
start
C.J. Stroud
HOU · QB
Solid role, offense implied for 25.8.
HOU · vs DAL · 17.6 PROJ · 25.8 IMP · medium confidence
Actual 7.9 · QB30 +244 touches · 100% of snaps
QB7—
start
Dak Prescott
DAL · QB
Strong usage.
DAL · @ HOU · 17.6 PROJ · 22.8 IMP · medium confidence
Actual 0.0 · QB33 +26No snaps recorded
QB8▲ 16
start
Daniel Jones
IND · QB
Solid role, offense implied for 25.5.
IND · @ WAS · 17.5 PROJ · 25.5 IMP · medium confidence
Actual 23.1 · QB3 -52 touches · 100% of snaps
QB9▼ 4
start
Lamar Jackson
BAL · QB
Solid role, offense implied for 27.0.
BAL · vs TEN · 17.5 PROJ · 27.0 IMP · medium confidence
Actual 18.1 · QB11 +22 touches · 100% of snaps
QB10▲ 2
start
Bryce Young
CAR · QB
Solid role.
CAR · vs DET · 16.9 PROJ · 24.0 IMP · medium confidence
Actual 18.9 · QB9 -12 touches · 52% of snaps
QB11▲ 6
start
Bo Nix
DEN · QB
Solid role.
DEN · @ SF · 16.4 PROJ · 22.8 IMP · medium confidence
Actual 21.5 · QB6 -53 touches · 100% of snaps
QB12▼ 8
start
Patrick Mahomes
KC · QB
Solid role, offense implied for 26.0.
KC · @ LV · 16.3 PROJ · 26.0 IMP · medium confidence
Actual 17.0 · QB13 +12 touches · 100% of snaps

Tier 5

QB13▲ 6
flex
Matthew Stafford
LA · QB
Solid role.
LA · @ PHI · 16.1 PROJ · 23.0 IMP · medium confidence
Actual 9.7 · QB26 +133 touches · 100% of snaps
QB14▼ 5
flex
Geno Smith
NYJ · QB
Strong usage.
NYJ · @ CHI · 15.4 PROJ · 20.0 IMP · medium confidence
Actual 13.6 · QB16 +22 touches · 98% of snaps
QB15▼ 2
flex
Aaron Rodgers
PIT · QB
Solid role.
PIT · @ CLE · 15.3 PROJ · 20.5 IMP · medium confidence
Actual 8.8 · QB29 +14100% of snaps
QB16▼ 6
flex
Brock Purdy
SF · QB
Offense implied for 25.8.
SF · vs DEN · 15.1 PROJ · 25.8 IMP · medium confidence
Actual 22.0 · QB5 -11100% of snaps
QB17▲ 4
flex
Kirk Cousins
LV · QB
Solid role.
LV · vs KC · 14.9 PROJ · 21.5 IMP · medium confidence
Actual 22.6 · QB4 -13100% of snaps
QB18▲ 5
flex
Trevor Lawrence
JAX · QB
Solid role.
JAX · @ CIN · 14.6 PROJ · 24.5 IMP · medium confidence
Actual 0.0 · QB34 +16Listed out · No snaps recorded
QB19▼ 1
sit
Deshaun Watson
CLE · QB
Strong usage, low-scoring spot (18.0 implied).
CLE · vs PIT · 14.3 PROJ · 18.0 IMP · medium confidence
Actual 19.6 · QB8 -1110 touches · 100% of snaps
QB20▼ 5
sit
Jordan Love
GB · QB
Solid role.
GB · @ TB · 13.9 PROJ · 20.8 IMP · medium confidence
Actual 13.1 · QB19 -13 touches · 100% of snaps

Tier 6

QB21▲ 7
sit
Malik Willis
MIA · QB
Solid role, low-scoring spot (14.2 implied), week-to-week role has been volatile.
MIA · @ MIN · 13.7 PROJ · 14.3 IMP · low confidence
Actual 12.9 · QB21 —7 touches · 100% of snaps
QB22▼ 16
sit
Jalen Hurts
PHI · QB
Solid role, low-scoring spot (19.5 implied).
PHI · vs LA · 13.7 PROJ · 19.5 IMP · medium confidence
Actual 13.1 · QB20 -24 touches · 100% of snaps
QB23▼ 7
sit
Drake Maye
NE · QB
Solid role.
NE · @ BUF · 13.4 PROJ · 21.3 IMP · medium confidence
Actual 2.5 · QB32 +92 touches · 100% of snaps

Tier 7

QB24▼ 2
sit
Justin Herbert
LAC · QB
Solid role, low-scoring spot (17.8 implied).
LAC · @ SEA · 12.6 PROJ · 17.8 IMP · medium confidence
Actual 13.5 · QB17 -75 touches · 100% of snaps

Tier 8

QB25▲ 1
sit
Michael Penix Jr.
ATL · QB
Back from injury, blended with his 2025 role, only 1 games of data.
ATL · @ NO · 12.3 PROJ · 23.0 IMP · low confidence
Actual 12.7 · QB22 -32 touches · 100% of snaps
QB26▲ 5
sit
Marcus Mariota
WAS · QB
Only 2 games of data.
WAS · vs IND · 11.8 PROJ · 21.0 IMP · low confidence
Actual 9.6 · QB27 +17 touches · 100% of snaps
QB27▲ 2
sit
Kyler Murray
MIN · QB
Back from injury, blended with his 2025 role, only 2 games of data.
MIN · vs MIA · 11.6 PROJ · 24.3 IMP · low confidence
QB28▼ 1
sit
Cam Ward
TEN · QB
Solid role, low-scoring spot (15.5 implied).
TEN · @ BAL · 11.6 PROJ · 15.5 IMP · medium confidence
Actual 11.5 · QB23 -56 touches · 100% of snaps
QB29▲ 1
sit
Sam Darnold
SEA · QB
Back from injury, blended with his 2025 role, only 2 games of data.
SEA · vs LAC · 11.3 PROJ · 24.8 IMP · low confidence
Actual 15.6 · QB15 -144 touches · 100% of snaps
QB30▼ 5
sit
Jameis Winston
NYG · QB
Only 2 games of data.
NYG · vs ARI · 10.3 PROJ · 21.0 IMP · low confidence
Actual 13.3 · QB18 -123 touches · 100% of snaps
QB31▲ 2
sit
Carson Wentz
MIN · QB
Only 2 games of data.
MIN · vs MIA · 4.7 PROJ · 24.3 IMP · low confidence
Actual 18.0 · QB12 -19100% of snaps
QB32—
sit
Drew Lock
SEA · QB
Only 2 games of data.
SEA · vs LAC · 4.5 PROJ · 24.8 IMP · low confidence
Actual 0.0 · QB35 +3No snaps recorded
QB33▲ 1
sit
Tyson Bagent
CHI · QB
Thin usage, only 1 games of data.
CHI · vs NYJ · 3.0 PROJ · 23.5 IMP · low confidence
Actual 0.0 · QB36 +3No snaps recorded
QB34—
sit
Jalon Daniels
TB · QB
Thin usage, low-scoring spot (17.8 implied), only 1 games of data.
TB · vs GB · 1.1 PROJ · 17.8 IMP · low confidence
Actual 5.3 · QB31 -31 touch · 16% of snaps
QB35—
sit
Tommy DeVito
NE · QB
Thin usage, only 1 games of data.
NE · @ BUF · 0.8 PROJ · 21.3 IMP · low confidence
Actual 11.4 · QB24 -118 touches · 100% of snaps
QB36▼ 1
sitQuestionable
Trey Lance
LAC · QB
Listed questionable, no games yet this season, projected from his 2025 role, thin usage, low-scoring spot (17.8 implied).
LAC · @ SEA · 0.5 PROJ · 17.8 IMP · low confidence
Actual 0.0 · QB37 +1No snaps recorded
QB37▼ 1
sit
Stetson Bennett
LA · QB
Thin usage, only 1 games of data.
LA · @ PHI · 0.5 PROJ · 23.0 IMP · low confidence
Actual 0.0 · QB38 +1Listed questionable · No snaps recorded
QB38▼ 1
sit
Mac Jones
SF · QB
Thin usage, offense implied for 25.8, only 1 games of data.
SF · vs DEN · 0.4 PROJ · 25.8 IMP · low confidence
Actual 0.0 · QB39 +1No snaps recorded
QB39—
sit
Case Keenum
CHI · QB
Strong usage, only 1 games of data.
CHI · vs NYJ · 0.4 PROJ · 23.5 IMP · low confidence
Actual 0.0 · QB40 +1No snaps recorded
QB40▼ 1
sit
Cooper Rush
ATL · QB
Only 2 games of data.
ATL · @ NO · 0.2 PROJ · 23.0 IMP · low confidence
Actual 0.0 · QB50 +10No snaps recorded
QB41▼ 3
sit
Mason Rudolph
PIT · QB
Thin usage, only 1 games of data.
PIT · @ CLE · 0.2 PROJ · 20.5 IMP · low confidence
Actual 0.0 · QB41 —No snaps recorded
QB42▼ 1
sit
Jack Strand
ATL · QB
Thin usage, only 1 games of data.
ATL · @ NO · 0.1 PROJ · 23.0 IMP · low confidence
Actual 0.0 · QB51 +9No snaps recorded
QB43▼ 3
sit
Kenny Pickett
CAR · QB
Thin usage, only 2 games of data.
CAR · vs DET · 0.1 PROJ · 24.0 IMP · low confidence
Actual 0.0 · QB42 -1No snaps recorded
QB44—
sit
Andy Dalton
PHI · QB
Thin usage, low-scoring spot (19.5 implied), only 1 games of data.
PHI · vs LA · 0.0 PROJ · 19.5 IMP · low confidence
Actual 8.8 · QB28 -164 touches · 100% of snaps
QB45▼ 3
sit
Nick Mullens
JAX · QB
Listed practice squad — not ranked to play.
JAX · @ CIN · 0.0 PROJ · 24.5 IMP · low confidence
Actual 0.0 · QB43 -2No snaps recorded
QB46▼ 32
sitOut
Baker Mayfield
TB · QB
Listed out — not ranked to play.
TB · vs GB · 0.0 PROJ · 17.8 IMP · medium confidence
Actual 0.0 · QB44 -2No snaps recorded
QB47▼ 4
sitOut
Jayden Daniels
WAS · QB
Listed out — not ranked to play.
WAS · vs IND · 0.0 PROJ · 21.0 IMP · low confidence
Actual 0.0 · QB45 -2Listed out · No snaps recorded
QB48▼ 4
sitOut
Caleb Williams
CHI · QB
Listed out — not ranked to play.
CHI · vs NYJ · 0.0 PROJ · 23.5 IMP · low confidence
Actual 0.0 · QB46 -2Listed out · No snaps recorded
QB49—
sit
Shedeur Sanders
CLE · QB
Thin usage, low-scoring spot (18.0 implied), only 1 games of data.
CLE · vs PIT · 0.0 PROJ · 18.0 IMP · low confidence
Actual 0.0 · QB47 -2No snaps recorded
QB50▼ 5
sit
Jaxson Dart
NYG · QB
Out for the season — not ranked to play.
NYG · vs ARI · 0.0 PROJ · 21.0 IMP · low confidence
Actual 0.0 · QB48 -2No snaps recorded
QB51▼ 5
sit
Dillon Gabriel
CLE · QB
Listed reserve — not ranked to play.
CLE · vs PIT · 0.0 PROJ · 18.0 IMP · low confidence
Actual 0.0 · QB49 -2No snaps recorded

Underlying NFL data via nflverse. Betting lines from Lee Sharpe's games file. Rankings are FantasyWeek.us originals.