Rex's Rankings

Download

Exports omit players projected for zero — anyone out, on reserve or on bye.

How accurate are these?How these are built

Week 10 QB Rankings

63 players ranked · HALF scoring · Updated Oct 20, 2026, 9:30 AM EDT

Projected — Week 7 is the current week

No betting lines yet. Sportsbooks have not posted totals for this week, so the scoring environment here is estimated from season scoring rates rather than taken from the market. Player roles and matchups are current; the point projections are less certain than a normal week's.

Bryce Young of CAR is the number one QB in Week 10 HALF scoring on the road against NO, in a game where his offense is implied for 37.5 points, projected for 21.4 points. 4 QBs sit in tiers 1 and 2 combined, and those are the ones you start without thinking. The week's real question mark is Drake Maye at QB2, where confidence is low because strong usage, offense implied for 29.1, week-to-week role has been volatile.

Past weeks are scored against actual results.

RankPlayerProjVerdict

Tier 1

QB1

Bryce Young

CAR · QB

@ NO · 37.5 implied · high confidence· ▲ 2

Strong usage, offense implied for 37.5.

21.4Projstart

QB2

Drake Maye

NE · QB

@ DET · 29.1 implied · low confidence· ▲ 14

Strong usage, offense implied for 29.1, week-to-week role has been volatile.

21.4Projstart

QB3

Daniel Jones

IND · QB

vs MIA · 27.4 implied · high confidence· ▼ 2

Strong usage.

21.1Projstart

Tier 2

QB4

Josh Allen

BUF · QB

@ NYJ · 27.5 implied · high confidence· ▲ 9

Strong usage.

19.9Projstart

Tier 3

QB5

Matthew Stafford

LA · QB

@ ARI · 28.9 implied · high confidence· ▲ 3

Solid role, offense implied for 28.9.

19.1Projstart

QB6

Brock Purdy

SF · QB

@ DAL · 33.9 implied · medium confidence· ▲ 1

Solid role, offense implied for 33.9.

19.1Projstart

Tier 4

QB7

Patrick Mahomes

KC · QB

@ ATL · 30.9 implied · medium confidence· ▲ 8

Solid role, offense implied for 30.9.

18.1Projstart

QB8

Tyler Shough

NO · QB

vs CAR · 27.0 implied · low confidence· ▲ 10

Solid role, week-to-week role has been volatile.

17.8Projstart

Tier 5

QB9

Jameis Winston

NYG · QB

vs WAS · 28.1 implied · low confidence· ▲ 10

Solid role, week-to-week role has been volatile.

17.1Projstart

QB10

Joe Burrow

CIN · QB

vs PIT · 23.7 implied · high confidence· ▼ 6

Strong usage.

17.0Projstart

QB11

Trevor Lawrence

JAX · QB

@ TEN · 23.9 implied · medium confidence· ▲ 1

Solid role.

16.8Projstart

QB12

Sam Darnold

SEA · QB

@ LV · 28.8 implied · low confidence· ▲ 2

Solid role, offense implied for 28.8, week-to-week role has been volatile.

16.6Projstart

QB13

Jared Goff

DET · QB

vs NE · 25.4 implied · high confidence· ▼ 3

Solid role.

16.6Projflex

QB14

Jayden Daniels

WAS · QB

@ NYG · 22.2 implied · medium confidence· ▲ 3

Strong usage.

16.5Projflex

Tier 6

QB15

Lamar Jackson

BAL · QB

vs LAC · 28.3 implied · medium confidence· ▲ 15

Offense implied for 28.3.

15.2Projflex

QB16

Jacoby Brissett

ARI · QB

vs LA · 20.9 implied · medium confidence· ▲ 7

Strong usage.

15.0Projflex

QB17

Dak Prescott

DAL · QB

vs SF · 20.0 implied · high confidence· ▼ 15

Strong usage.

14.9Projflex

QB18

Deshaun Watson

CLE · QB

vs HOU · 18.2 implied · high confidence· ▼ 9

Strong usage, low-scoring spot (18.2 implied).

14.9Projflex

QB19

Kirk Cousins

LV · QB

vs SEA · 23.8 implied · high confidence· ▲ 1

Solid role.

14.9Projsit

QB20

Aaron Rodgers

PIT · QB

@ CIN · 21.6 implied · high confidence· ▲ 29

Solid role.

14.5Projsit

QB21

C.J. Stroud

HOU · QB

@ CLE · 21.1 implied · medium confidence· ▼ 10

Solid role.

14.1Projsit

QB22

Justin Herbert

LAC · QB

@ BAL · 15.4 implied · high confidence· ▲ 2

Strong usage, low-scoring spot (15.4 implied).

13.9Projsit

Tier 7

QB23

Geno Smith

NYJ · QB

vs BUF · 23.0 implied · low confidence· ▲ 6

Solid role, week-to-week role has been volatile.

13.7Projsit

QB24

Kyler Murray

MIN · QB

@ GB · 19.7 implied · low confidence· ▼ 19

Solid role, week-to-week role has been volatile.

13.6Projsit

Tier 8

QB25

Jordan Love

GB · QB

vs MIN · 14.8 implied · medium confidence· ▲ 1

Solid role, low-scoring spot (14.8 implied).

13.2Projsit

QB26

Malik Willis

MIA · QB

@ IND · 19.1 implied · low confidence· ▼ 4

Solid role, low-scoring spot (19.1 implied), week-to-week role has been volatile.

12.3Projsit

QB27

Cam Ward

TEN · QB

vs JAX · 12.1 implied · high confidence· ▲ 28

Solid role, low-scoring spot (12.1 implied).

11.0Projsit

QB28

Michael Penix Jr.

ATL · QB

vs KC · 17.0 implied · high confidence· ▼ 1

Solid role, low-scoring spot (17.0 implied).

10.5Projsit

QB29

Cooper Rush

ATL · QB

vs KC · 17.0 implied · low confidence· ▲ 2

Low-scoring spot (17.0 implied), only 2 games of data.

6.7Projsit

QB30

J.J. McCarthy

NYG · QB

vs WAS · 28.1 implied · low confidence· ▲ 4

Thin usage, only 2 games of data.

5.2Projsit

QB31

Drew Lock

SEA · QB

@ LV · 28.8 implied · low confidence· ▲ 2

Offense implied for 28.8, only 2 games of data.

5.0Projsit

QB32

Tyler Huntley

BAL · QB

vs LAC · 28.3 implied · low confidence· ▲ 3

Solid role, offense implied for 28.3, week-to-week role has been volatile.

4.3Projsit

QB33

Carson Wentz

MIN · QB

@ GB · 19.7 implied · low confidence· ▼ 1

Only 2 games of data.

3.7Projsit

QB34

Marcus Mariota

WAS · QB

@ NYG · 22.2 implied · low confidence· ▲ 2

Week-to-week role has been volatile.

2.5Projsit

QB35

Fernando Mendoza

LV · QB

vs SEA · 23.8 implied · low confidence· ▲ 4

Thin usage, only 1 games of data.

1.4Projsit

QB36

Tommy DeVito

NE · QB

@ DET · 29.1 implied · low confidence· ▲ 4

Thin usage, offense implied for 29.1, only 1 games of data.

1.0Projsit

QB37

Stetson Bennett

LA · QB

@ ARI · 28.9 implied · low confidence· ▲ 4

Thin usage, offense implied for 28.9, only 1 games of data.

0.6Projsit

QB38

Mason Rudolph

PIT · QB

@ CIN · 21.6 implied · low confidence· ▲ 14

Thin usage, only 2 games of data.

0.5Projsit

QB39

Mac Jones

SF · QB

@ DAL · 33.9 implied · low confidence· ▲ 3

Thin usage, offense implied for 33.9, only 1 games of data.

0.5Projsit

QB40

Athan Kaliakmanis

WAS · QB

@ NYG · 22.2 implied · low confidence· ▲ 3

Solid role, only 1 games of data.

0.3Projsit

QB41

Tyrod Taylor

GB · QB

vs MIN · 14.8 implied · low confidence· ▲ 3

Thin usage, low-scoring spot (14.8 implied), only 1 games of data.

0.3Projsit

QB42

Aidan O'Connell

LV · QB

vs SEA · 23.8 implied · low confidence· —

No games this season and few last season, projected from his 2024 role.

0.2Projsit

QB43

Kenny Pickett

CAR · QB

@ NO · 37.5 implied · low confidence· ▲ 3

Thin usage, offense implied for 37.5, only 2 games of data.

0.2Projsit

QB44

Tua Tagovailoa

ATL · QB

vs KC · 17.0 implied · low confidence· ▲ 3

Thin usage, low-scoring spot (17.0 implied), only 1 games of data.

0.1Projsit

QB45

Riley Leonard

IND · QB

vs MIA · 27.4 implied · low confidence· —

No games yet this season, projected from his 2025 role, thin usage.

0.1Projsit

QB46

Jack Strand

ATL · QB

vs KC · 17.0 implied · low confidence· ▲ 2

Low-scoring spot (17.0 implied), only 1 games of data.

0.1Projsit

QB47

Jake Haener

NYG · QB

vs WAS · 28.1 implied · low confidence· —

No games this season and few last season, projected from his 2024 role, scaled down to his current QB3 job, thin usage.

0.0Projsit

QB48

Andy Dalton

PHI · QB

BYE · low confidence· ▲ 2

On bye this week — not ranked to play.

0.0Projsit

QB49

Case Keenum

CHI · QB

BYE · low confidence· ▼ 4

On bye this week — not ranked to play.

0.0Projsit

QB50

Nick Mullens

JAX · QB

@ TEN · 23.9 implied · low confidence· ▲ 1

Listed practice squad — not ranked to play.

0.0Projsit

QB51

Baker Mayfield

TB · QB

BYE · medium confidence· ▼ 23

On bye this week — not ranked to play.

0.0Projsit

QB52

Jalen Hurts

PHI · QB

BYE · high confidence· ▲ 1

On bye this week — not ranked to play.

0.0Projsit

QB53

Tanner McKee

PHI · QB

BYE · low confidence· ▼ 28

On bye this week — not ranked to play.

0.0Projsit

QB54

Tyson Bagent

CHI · QB

BYE · low confidence· ▼ 17

On bye this week — not ranked to play.

0.0Projsit

QB55

Bo Nix

DEN · QB

BYE · high confidence· ▼ 34

On bye this week — not ranked to play.

0.0Projsit

QB56

Caleb Williams

CHI · QB

BYE · medium confidence· ▼ 50

On bye this week — not ranked to play.

0.0Projsit

QB57

Shedeur Sanders

CLE · QB

vs HOU · 18.2 implied · low confidence· ▼ 3

Thin usage, low-scoring spot (18.2 implied), only 1 games of data.

0.0Projsit

QB58

Jaxson Dart

NYG · QB

vs WAS · 28.1 implied · low confidence· ▼ 2

Out for the season — not ranked to play.

0.0Projsit

QB59

Jalon Daniels

TB · QB

BYE · low confidence· ▼ 21

On bye this week — not ranked to play.

0.0Projsit

QB60

Dillon Gabriel

CLE · QB

vs HOU · 18.2 implied · low confidence· ▼ 2

Listed reserve — not ranked to play.

0.0Projsit

QB61

Zach Wilson

NO · QB

vs CAR · 27.0 implied · low confidence· —

No games yet this season, projected from his 2025 role, scaled down to his current QB3 job, thin usage.

0.0Projsit

QB62

Joe Milton III

PHI · QB

BYE · low confidence· —

On bye this week — not ranked to play.

0.0Projsit

QB63

Trey Lance

LAC · QB

@ BAL · 15.4 implied · low confidence· ▼ 6

Listed reserve — not ranked to play.

0.0Projsit

Verdict

Tier 1

QB1▲ 2
start
Bryce Young
CAR · QB
Strong usage, offense implied for 37.5.
CAR · @ NO · 21.4 PROJ · 37.5 EST · high confidence
QB2▲ 14
start
Drake Maye
NE · QB
Strong usage, offense implied for 29.1, week-to-week role has been volatile.
NE · @ DET · 21.4 PROJ · 29.1 EST · low confidence
QB3▼ 2
start
Daniel Jones
IND · QB
Strong usage.
IND · vs MIA · 21.1 PROJ · 27.4 EST · high confidence

Tier 2

QB4▲ 9
start
Josh Allen
BUF · QB
Strong usage.
BUF · @ NYJ · 19.9 PROJ · 27.5 EST · high confidence

Tier 3

QB5▲ 3
start
Matthew Stafford
LA · QB
Solid role, offense implied for 28.9.
LA · @ ARI · 19.1 PROJ · 28.9 EST · high confidence
QB6▲ 1
start
Brock Purdy
SF · QB
Solid role, offense implied for 33.9.
SF · @ DAL · 19.1 PROJ · 33.9 EST · medium confidence

Tier 4

QB7▲ 8
start
Patrick Mahomes
KC · QB
Solid role, offense implied for 30.9.
KC · @ ATL · 18.1 PROJ · 30.9 EST · medium confidence
QB8▲ 10
start
Tyler Shough
NO · QB
Solid role, week-to-week role has been volatile.
NO · vs CAR · 17.8 PROJ · 27.0 EST · low confidence

Tier 5

QB9▲ 10
start
Jameis Winston
NYG · QB
Solid role, week-to-week role has been volatile.
NYG · vs WAS · 17.1 PROJ · 28.1 EST · low confidence
QB10▼ 6
start
Joe Burrow
CIN · QB
Strong usage.
CIN · vs PIT · 17.0 PROJ · 23.7 EST · high confidence
QB11▲ 1
start
Trevor Lawrence
JAX · QB
Solid role.
JAX · @ TEN · 16.8 PROJ · 23.9 EST · medium confidence
QB12▲ 2
start
Sam Darnold
SEA · QB
Solid role, offense implied for 28.8, week-to-week role has been volatile.
SEA · @ LV · 16.6 PROJ · 28.8 EST · low confidence
QB13▼ 3
flex
Jared Goff
DET · QB
Solid role.
DET · vs NE · 16.6 PROJ · 25.4 EST · high confidence
QB14▲ 3
flex
Jayden Daniels
WAS · QB
Strong usage.
WAS · @ NYG · 16.5 PROJ · 22.2 EST · medium confidence

Tier 6

QB15▲ 15
flex
Lamar Jackson
BAL · QB
Offense implied for 28.3.
BAL · vs LAC · 15.2 PROJ · 28.3 EST · medium confidence
QB16▲ 7
flex
Jacoby Brissett
ARI · QB
Strong usage.
ARI · vs LA · 15.0 PROJ · 20.9 EST · medium confidence
QB17▼ 15
flex
Dak Prescott
DAL · QB
Strong usage.
DAL · vs SF · 14.9 PROJ · 20.0 EST · high confidence
QB18▼ 9
flex
Deshaun Watson
CLE · QB
Strong usage, low-scoring spot (18.2 implied).
CLE · vs HOU · 14.9 PROJ · 18.2 EST · high confidence
QB19▲ 1
sit
Kirk Cousins
LV · QB
Solid role.
LV · vs SEA · 14.9 PROJ · 23.8 EST · high confidence
QB20▲ 29
sit
Aaron Rodgers
PIT · QB
Solid role.
PIT · @ CIN · 14.5 PROJ · 21.6 EST · high confidence
QB21▼ 10
sit
C.J. Stroud
HOU · QB
Solid role.
HOU · @ CLE · 14.1 PROJ · 21.1 EST · medium confidence
QB22▲ 2
sit
Justin Herbert
LAC · QB
Strong usage, low-scoring spot (15.4 implied).
LAC · @ BAL · 13.9 PROJ · 15.4 EST · high confidence

Tier 7

QB23▲ 6
sit
Geno Smith
NYJ · QB
Solid role, week-to-week role has been volatile.
NYJ · vs BUF · 13.7 PROJ · 23.0 EST · low confidence
QB24▼ 19
sit
Kyler Murray
MIN · QB
Solid role, week-to-week role has been volatile.
MIN · @ GB · 13.6 PROJ · 19.7 EST · low confidence

Tier 8

QB25▲ 1
sit
Jordan Love
GB · QB
Solid role, low-scoring spot (14.8 implied).
GB · vs MIN · 13.2 PROJ · 14.8 EST · medium confidence
QB26▼ 4
sit
Malik Willis
MIA · QB
Solid role, low-scoring spot (19.1 implied), week-to-week role has been volatile.
MIA · @ IND · 12.3 PROJ · 19.1 EST · low confidence
QB27▲ 28
sit
Cam Ward
TEN · QB
Solid role, low-scoring spot (12.1 implied).
TEN · vs JAX · 11.0 PROJ · 12.1 EST · high confidence
QB28▼ 1
sit
Michael Penix Jr.
ATL · QB
Solid role, low-scoring spot (17.0 implied).
ATL · vs KC · 10.5 PROJ · 17.0 EST · high confidence
QB29▲ 2
sit
Cooper Rush
ATL · QB
Low-scoring spot (17.0 implied), only 2 games of data.
ATL · vs KC · 6.7 PROJ · 17.0 EST · low confidence
QB30▲ 4
sit
J.J. McCarthy
NYG · QB
Thin usage, only 2 games of data.
NYG · vs WAS · 5.2 PROJ · 28.1 EST · low confidence
QB31▲ 2
sit
Drew Lock
SEA · QB
Offense implied for 28.8, only 2 games of data.
SEA · @ LV · 5.0 PROJ · 28.8 EST · low confidence
QB32▲ 3
sit
Tyler Huntley
BAL · QB
Solid role, offense implied for 28.3, week-to-week role has been volatile.
BAL · vs LAC · 4.3 PROJ · 28.3 EST · low confidence
QB33▼ 1
sit
Carson Wentz
MIN · QB
Only 2 games of data.
MIN · @ GB · 3.7 PROJ · 19.7 EST · low confidence
QB34▲ 2
sit
Marcus Mariota
WAS · QB
Week-to-week role has been volatile.
WAS · @ NYG · 2.5 PROJ · 22.2 EST · low confidence
QB35▲ 4
sit
Fernando Mendoza
LV · QB
Thin usage, only 1 games of data.
LV · vs SEA · 1.4 PROJ · 23.8 EST · low confidence
QB36▲ 4
sit
Tommy DeVito
NE · QB
Thin usage, offense implied for 29.1, only 1 games of data.
NE · @ DET · 1.0 PROJ · 29.1 EST · low confidence
QB37▲ 4
sit
Stetson Bennett
LA · QB
Thin usage, offense implied for 28.9, only 1 games of data.
LA · @ ARI · 0.6 PROJ · 28.9 EST · low confidence
QB38▲ 14
sit
Mason Rudolph
PIT · QB
Thin usage, only 2 games of data.
PIT · @ CIN · 0.5 PROJ · 21.6 EST · low confidence
QB39▲ 3
sit
Mac Jones
SF · QB
Thin usage, offense implied for 33.9, only 1 games of data.
SF · @ DAL · 0.5 PROJ · 33.9 EST · low confidence
QB40▲ 3
sit
Athan Kaliakmanis
WAS · QB
Solid role, only 1 games of data.
WAS · @ NYG · 0.3 PROJ · 22.2 EST · low confidence
QB41▲ 3
sit
Tyrod Taylor
GB · QB
Thin usage, low-scoring spot (14.8 implied), only 1 games of data.
GB · vs MIN · 0.3 PROJ · 14.8 EST · low confidence
QB42—
sit
Aidan O'Connell
LV · QB
No games this season and few last season, projected from his 2024 role.
LV · vs SEA · 0.2 PROJ · 23.8 EST · low confidence
QB43▲ 3
sit
Kenny Pickett
CAR · QB
Thin usage, offense implied for 37.5, only 2 games of data.
CAR · @ NO · 0.2 PROJ · 37.5 EST · low confidence
QB44▲ 3
sit
Tua Tagovailoa
ATL · QB
Thin usage, low-scoring spot (17.0 implied), only 1 games of data.
ATL · vs KC · 0.1 PROJ · 17.0 EST · low confidence
QB45—
sit
Riley Leonard
IND · QB
No games yet this season, projected from his 2025 role, thin usage.
IND · vs MIA · 0.1 PROJ · 27.4 EST · low confidence
QB46▲ 2
sit
Jack Strand
ATL · QB
Low-scoring spot (17.0 implied), only 1 games of data.
ATL · vs KC · 0.1 PROJ · 17.0 EST · low confidence
QB47—
sit
Jake Haener
NYG · QB
No games this season and few last season, projected from his 2024 role, scaled down to his current QB3 job, thin usage.
NYG · vs WAS · 0.0 PROJ · 28.1 EST · low confidence
QB48▲ 2
sit
Andy Dalton
PHI · QB
On bye this week — not ranked to play.
PHI · BYE · 0.0 PROJ · low confidence
QB49▼ 4
sit
Case Keenum
CHI · QB
On bye this week — not ranked to play.
CHI · BYE · 0.0 PROJ · low confidence
QB50▲ 1
sit
Nick Mullens
JAX · QB
Listed practice squad — not ranked to play.
JAX · @ TEN · 0.0 PROJ · 23.9 EST · low confidence
QB51▼ 23
sit
Baker Mayfield
TB · QB
On bye this week — not ranked to play.
TB · BYE · 0.0 PROJ · medium confidence
QB52▲ 1
sit
Jalen Hurts
PHI · QB
On bye this week — not ranked to play.
PHI · BYE · 0.0 PROJ · high confidence
QB53▼ 28
sit
Tanner McKee
PHI · QB
On bye this week — not ranked to play.
PHI · BYE · 0.0 PROJ · low confidence
QB54▼ 17
sit
Tyson Bagent
CHI · QB
On bye this week — not ranked to play.
CHI · BYE · 0.0 PROJ · low confidence
QB55▼ 34
sit
Bo Nix
DEN · QB
On bye this week — not ranked to play.
DEN · BYE · 0.0 PROJ · high confidence
QB56▼ 50
sit
Caleb Williams
CHI · QB
On bye this week — not ranked to play.
CHI · BYE · 0.0 PROJ · medium confidence
QB57▼ 3
sit
Shedeur Sanders
CLE · QB
Thin usage, low-scoring spot (18.2 implied), only 1 games of data.
CLE · vs HOU · 0.0 PROJ · 18.2 EST · low confidence
QB58▼ 2
sit
Jaxson Dart
NYG · QB
Out for the season — not ranked to play.
NYG · vs WAS · 0.0 PROJ · 28.1 EST · low confidence
QB59▼ 21
sit
Jalon Daniels
TB · QB
On bye this week — not ranked to play.
TB · BYE · 0.0 PROJ · low confidence
QB60▼ 2
sit
Dillon Gabriel
CLE · QB
Listed reserve — not ranked to play.
CLE · vs HOU · 0.0 PROJ · 18.2 EST · low confidence
QB61—
sit
Zach Wilson
NO · QB
No games yet this season, projected from his 2025 role, scaled down to his current QB3 job, thin usage.
NO · vs CAR · 0.0 PROJ · 27.0 EST · low confidence
QB62—
sit
Joe Milton III
PHI · QB
On bye this week — not ranked to play.
PHI · BYE · 0.0 PROJ · low confidence
QB63▼ 6
sit
Trey Lance
LAC · QB
Listed reserve — not ranked to play.
LAC · @ BAL · 0.0 PROJ · 15.4 EST · low confidence

Underlying NFL data via nflverse. Betting lines from Lee Sharpe's games file. Rankings are FantasyWeek.us originals.