Week 1 QB Rankings

Tier 1

• QB1—

  start
  

  Justin Herbert

  LAC · QB

  Carried a heavy workload last season, in one of Week 1's best scoring spots at 28.5 implied.

  LAC · vs ARI · 19.3 PROJ · 28.5 IMP · high confidence

Tier 2

• QB2—

  start
  

  Joe Burrow

  CIN · QB

  Carried a heavy workload last season, in one of Week 1's best scoring spots at 27.5 implied.

  CIN · vs TB · 18.7 PROJ · 27.5 IMP · high confidence

• QB3—

  start
  

  Jared Goff

  DET · QB

  Held a featured role last season, in one of Week 1's best scoring spots at 28.2 implied.

  DET · vs NO · 18.4 PROJ · 28.3 IMP · high confidence

• QB4—

  start
  

  Matthew Stafford

  LA · QB

  Carried a heavy workload last season, in one of Week 1's best scoring spots at 26.0 implied.

  LA · vs SF · 17.9 PROJ · 26.0 IMP · high confidence

• QB5—

  start
  

  Trevor Lawrence

  JAX · QB

  Carried a heavy workload last season.

  JAX · vs CLE · 17.6 PROJ · 24.0 IMP · high confidence

• QB6—

  start
  

  Kyler Murray

  MIN · QB

  New to MIN after ARI and steps in as the starter, carried a heavy workload last season.

  MIN · vs GB · 17.5 PROJ · 23.5 IMP · medium confidence

• QB7—

  start
  

  Caleb Williams

  CHI · QB

  Carried a heavy workload last season.

  CHI · @ CAR · 17.4 PROJ · 25.0 IMP · high confidence

• QB8—

  start
  

  Josh Allen

  BUF · QB

  Carried a heavy workload last season.

  BUF · @ HOU · 16.9 PROJ · 23.0 IMP · high confidence

• QB9—

  start
  

  Jalen Hurts

  PHI · QB

  Held a featured role last season.

  PHI · vs WAS · 16.6 PROJ · 25.0 IMP · high confidence

Tier 3

• QB10—

  start
  

  Sam Darnold

  SEA · QB

  Held a featured role last season.

  SEA · vs NE · 15.9 PROJ · 24.0 IMP · high confidence

• QB11—

  start
  

  Aaron Rodgers

  PIT · QB

  Carried a heavy workload last season.

  PIT · vs ATL · 15.8 PROJ · 23.0 IMP · high confidence

• QB12—

  start
  

  Patrick Mahomes

  KC · QB

  Carried a heavy workload last season.

  KC · vs DEN · 15.8 PROJ · 22.8 IMP · high confidence

• QB13—

  flex
  

  Jaxson Dart

  NYG · QB

  Held a featured role last season.

  NYG · vs DAL · 15.7 PROJ · 23.0 IMP · high confidence

• QB14—

  flex
  

  Baker Mayfield

  TB · QB

  Held a featured role last season.

  TB · @ CIN · 15.5 PROJ · 24.0 IMP · high confidence

• QB15—

  flex
  

  Bo Nix

  DEN · QB

  Carried a heavy workload last season.

  DEN · @ KC · 15.4 PROJ · 19.8 IMP · high confidence

• QB16—

  flex
  

  Bryce Young

  CAR · QB

  Held a featured role last season.

  CAR · vs CHI · 15.2 PROJ · 22.5 IMP · high confidence

• QB17—

  flex
  

  Brock Purdy

  SF · QB

  Held a featured role last season.

  SF · @ LA · 14.9 PROJ · 22.5 IMP · high confidence

Tier 4

• QB18—

  flex
  

  Tyler Shough

  NO · QB

  Carried a heavy workload last season.

  NO · @ DET · 14.8 PROJ · 21.3 IMP · high confidence

• QB19—

  sit
  

  Dak Prescott

  DAL · QB

  Held a featured role last season, in one of Week 1's best scoring spots at 25.5 implied.

  DAL · @ NYG · 14.8 PROJ · 25.5 IMP · medium confidence

Tier 5

• QB20—

  sit
  

  Kirk Cousins

  LV · QB

  New to LV after ATL and steps in as the starter, held a featured role last season.

  LV · vs MIA · 13.6 PROJ · 22.0 IMP · medium confidence

• QB21—

  sit
  

  C.J. Stroud

  HOU · QB

  Held a featured role last season.

  HOU · vs BUF · 13.3 PROJ · 21.5 IMP · high confidence

• QB22—

  sit
  

  Lamar Jackson

  BAL · QB

  Had a steady role last season, in one of Week 1's best scoring spots at 26.0 implied.

  BAL · @ IND · 12.9 PROJ · 26.0 IMP · medium confidence

• QB23—

  sit
  

  Drake Maye

  NE · QB

  Held a featured role last season.

  NE · @ SEA · 12.7 PROJ · 20.5 IMP · high confidence

• QB24—

  sit
  

  Jayden Daniels

  WAS · QB

  Held a featured role last season, in a low-scoring spot at 19.5 implied.

  WAS · @ PHI · 12.4 PROJ · 19.5 IMP · high confidence

Tier 6

• QB25—

  sit
  

  Jacoby Brissett

  ARI · QB

  Held a featured role last season, in a low-scoring spot at 18.0 implied.

  ARI · @ LAC · 12.2 PROJ · 18.0 IMP · high confidence

• QB26—

  sit
  

  Jordan Love

  GB · QB

  Had a steady role last season.

  GB · @ MIN · 12.2 PROJ · 22.0 IMP · medium confidence

• QB27—

  sit
  

  Daniel Jones

  IND · QB

  Had a steady role last season.

  IND · vs BAL · 11.3 PROJ · 22.5 IMP · medium confidence

• QB28—

  sit
  

  Cam Ward

  TEN · QB

  Had a steady role last season.

  TEN · vs NYJ · 10.2 PROJ · 20.0 IMP · medium confidence

• QB29—

  sit
  

  Tua Tagovailoa

  ATL · QB

  New to ATL after MIA and steps in as the starter, had a steady role last season, in a low-scoring spot at 19.5 implied.

  ATL · @ PIT · 9.9 PROJ · 19.5 IMP · medium confidence

• QB30—

  sit
  

  Geno Smith

  NYJ · QB

  New to NYJ after LV and steps in as the starter, had a steady role last season, in a low-scoring spot at 18.5 implied.

  NYJ · @ TEN · 9.7 PROJ · 18.5 IMP · medium confidence

• QB31—

  sit
  

  Malik Willis

  MIA · QB

  New to MIA after GB and steps in as the starter, had a steady role last season, in a low-scoring spot at 18.5 implied.

  MIA · @ LV · 8.8 PROJ · 18.5 IMP · low confidence

• QB32—

  sit
  

  Deshaun Watson

  CLE · QB

  Undrafted rookie, already listed as the starter, no NFL usage to go on yet, in a low-scoring spot at 16.5 implied.

  CLE · @ JAX · 4.0 PROJ · 16.5 IMP · low confidence

• QB33—

  sit
  

  Justin Fields

  KC · QB

  New to KC after NYJ, held a featured role last season.

  KC · vs DEN · 0.3 PROJ · 22.8 IMP · low confidence

• QB34—

  sit
  

  Fernando Mendoza

  LV · QB

  First-round rookie, pick 1, second on the depth chart, no NFL usage to go on yet.

  LV · vs MIA · 0.2 PROJ · 22.0 IMP · low confidence

• QB35—

  sit
  

  Shedeur Sanders

  CLE · QB

  Behind the starter on the depth chart, held a featured role last season, in a low-scoring spot at 16.5 implied.

  CLE · @ JAX · 0.2 PROJ · 16.5 IMP · low confidence