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Week 4 QB Rankings

37 players ranked · STD scoring · Updated Sep 16, 2026, 6:33 PM EDT

Projected — Week 2 is the current week

No betting lines yet. Sportsbooks have not posted totals for this week, so the scoring environment here is estimated from season scoring rates rather than taken from the market. Player roles and matchups are current; the point projections are less certain than a normal week's.

Caleb Williams of CHI is the number one QB in Week 4 STD scoring at home against NYJ, in a game where his offense is implied for 34.9 points, projected for 22.8 points. 6 QBs sit in tiers 1 and 2 combined, and those are the ones you start without thinking. The week's real question mark is Drake Maye at QB2, where confidence is low because strong usage, only 1 game of data.

RankMovePlayerMatchupProjImpliedConfidenceVerdict

Tier 1

QB1▲ 3

Caleb Williams

CHI · QB

Solid role, offense implied for 34.9, only 1 games of data.

vs NYJ22.8Proj34.9Estlowstart

QB2▲ 9

Drake Maye

NE · QB

Strong usage, only 1 games of data.

@ BUF22.2Proj26.0Estlowstart

QB3▲ 2

Jaxson Dart

NYG · QB

Solid role, only 1 games of data.

vs ARI22.0Proj26.9Estlowstart

Tier 2

QB4▼ 2

Jared Goff

DET · QB

Solid role, offense implied for 32.3, only 1 games of data.

@ CAR21.3Proj32.3Estlowstart

QB5▲ 7

C.J. Stroud

HOU · QB

Solid role, offense implied for 31.6, only 1 games of data.

vs DAL20.8Proj31.6Estlowstart

QB6▲ 8

Jacoby Brissett

ARI · QB

Strong usage, only 1 games of data.

@ NYG20.7Proj23.3Estlowstart

Tier 3

QB7▲ 3

Lamar Jackson

BAL · QB

Solid role, offense implied for 31.7, only 1 games of data.

vs TEN19.6Proj31.7Estlowstart

QB8▲ 5

Aaron Rodgers

PIT · QB

Solid role, only 1 games of data.

@ CLE19.2Proj23.3Estlowstart

QB9▲ 10

Jayden Daniels

WAS · QB

Solid role, only 1 games of data.

vs IND18.7Proj23.6Estlowstart

QB10▼ 3

Jordan Love

GB · QB

Solid role, only 1 games of data.

@ TB18.4Proj24.8Estlowstart

Tier 4

QB11▼ 10

Brock Purdy

SF · QB

Solid role, only 1 games of data.

vs DEN17.3Proj21.9Estlowstart

QB12▼ 4

Patrick Mahomes

KC · QB

Solid role, only 1 games of data.

@ LV17.2Proj23.2Estlowstart

QB13▼ 7

Josh Allen

BUF · QB

Solid role, only 1 games of data.

vs NE16.9Proj22.9Estlowflex

QB14▼ 11

Tyler Shough

NO · QB

Strong usage, only 1 games of data.

vs ATL16.6Proj19.3Estlowflex

QB15▼ 6

Joe Burrow

CIN · QB

Solid role, only 1 games of data.

vs JAX16.5Proj20.4Estlowflex

QB16▲ 10

Daniel Jones

IND · QB

Offense implied for 30.5, only 1 games of data.

@ WAS16.1Proj30.5Estlowflex

QB17▲ 1

Bryce Young

CAR · QB

Solid role, only 1 games of data.

vs DET15.8Proj21.8Estlowflex

QB18▼ 1

Baker Mayfield

TB · QB

Only 1 games of data.

vs GB15.4Proj22.7Estlowflex

Tier 5

QB19▼ 4

Dak Prescott

DAL · QB

Only 1 games of data.

@ HOU15.1Proj22.4Estlowsit

Tier 6

QB20▼ 4

Jalen Hurts

PHI · QB

Solid role, only 1 games of data.

vs LA14.4Proj20.4Estlowsit

Tier 7

QB21▼ 1

Kirk Cousins

LV · QB

Solid role, low-scoring spot (12.8 implied), only 1 games of data.

vs KC13.3Proj12.8Estlowsit

QB22—

Cam Ward

TEN · QB

Solid role, low-scoring spot (16.4 implied), only 1 games of data.

@ BAL13.3Proj16.4Estlowsit

QB23—

Geno Smith

NYJ · QB

Only 1 games of data.

@ CHI13.1Proj20.2Estlowsit

QB24▲ 6

Trevor Lawrence

JAX · QB

Offense implied for 35.3, only 1 games of data.

@ CIN13.0Proj35.3Estlowsit

Tier 8

QB25—

Malik Willis

MIA · QB

Solid role, low-scoring spot (16.8 implied), only 1 games of data.

@ MIN13.0Proj16.8Estlowsit

QB26▲ 3

Carson Wentz

MIN · QB

Only 1 games of data.

vs MIA12.4Proj24.1Estlowsit

QB27▼ 6

Justin Herbert

LAC · QB

Low-scoring spot (14.8 implied), only 1 games of data.

@ SEA12.3Proj14.8Estlowsit

QB28▼ 1

Matthew Stafford

LA · QB

Only 1 games of data.

@ PHI11.8Proj23.4Estlowsit

QB29▼ 5

Bo Nix

DEN · QB

Only 1 games of data.

@ SF11.6Proj19.4Estlowsit

QB30▼ 2

Deshaun Watson

CLE · QB

Low-scoring spot (15.2 implied), only 1 games of data.

vs PIT11.3Proj15.2Estlowsit

QB31—

Drew Lock

SEA · QB

Thin usage, only 1 games of data.

vs LAC10.7Proj23.8Estlowsit

QB32—

Cooper Rush

ATL · QB

Thin usage, only 1 games of data.

@ NO7.5Proj20.1Estlowsit

QB33—

Kyler Murray

MIN · QB

Thin usage, only 1 games of data.

vs MIA3.2Proj24.1Estlowsit

QB34—

Stetson Bennett

LA · QB

Thin usage, only 1 games of data.

@ PHI1.3Proj23.4Estlowsit

QB35—

Kenny Pickett

CAR · QB

Thin usage, only 1 games of data.

vs DET0.4Proj21.8Estlowsit

QB36—

Nick Mullens

JAX · QB

Listed practice squad — not ranked to play.

@ CIN0.0Proj35.3Estlowsit

QB37—

Sam Darnold

SEA · QB

Thin usage, only 1 games of data.

vs LAC0.0Proj23.8Estlowsit

Tier 1

QB1▲ 3
start
Caleb Williams
CHI · QB
Solid role, offense implied for 34.9, only 1 games of data.
CHI · vs NYJ · 22.8 PROJ · 34.9 EST · low confidence
QB2▲ 9
start
Drake Maye
NE · QB
Strong usage, only 1 games of data.
NE · @ BUF · 22.2 PROJ · 26.0 EST · low confidence
QB3▲ 2
start
Jaxson Dart
NYG · QB
Solid role, only 1 games of data.
NYG · vs ARI · 22.0 PROJ · 26.9 EST · low confidence

Tier 2

QB4▼ 2
start
Jared Goff
DET · QB
Solid role, offense implied for 32.3, only 1 games of data.
DET · @ CAR · 21.3 PROJ · 32.3 EST · low confidence
QB5▲ 7
start
C.J. Stroud
HOU · QB
Solid role, offense implied for 31.6, only 1 games of data.
HOU · vs DAL · 20.8 PROJ · 31.6 EST · low confidence
QB6▲ 8
start
Jacoby Brissett
ARI · QB
Strong usage, only 1 games of data.
ARI · @ NYG · 20.7 PROJ · 23.3 EST · low confidence

Tier 3

QB7▲ 3
start
Lamar Jackson
BAL · QB
Solid role, offense implied for 31.7, only 1 games of data.
BAL · vs TEN · 19.6 PROJ · 31.7 EST · low confidence
QB8▲ 5
start
Aaron Rodgers
PIT · QB
Solid role, only 1 games of data.
PIT · @ CLE · 19.2 PROJ · 23.3 EST · low confidence
QB9▲ 10
start
Jayden Daniels
WAS · QB
Solid role, only 1 games of data.
WAS · vs IND · 18.7 PROJ · 23.6 EST · low confidence
QB10▼ 3
start
Jordan Love
GB · QB
Solid role, only 1 games of data.
GB · @ TB · 18.4 PROJ · 24.8 EST · low confidence

Tier 4

QB11▼ 10
start
Brock Purdy
SF · QB
Solid role, only 1 games of data.
SF · vs DEN · 17.3 PROJ · 21.9 EST · low confidence
QB12▼ 4
start
Patrick Mahomes
KC · QB
Solid role, only 1 games of data.
KC · @ LV · 17.2 PROJ · 23.2 EST · low confidence
QB13▼ 7
flex
Josh Allen
BUF · QB
Solid role, only 1 games of data.
BUF · vs NE · 16.9 PROJ · 22.9 EST · low confidence
QB14▼ 11
flex
Tyler Shough
NO · QB
Strong usage, only 1 games of data.
NO · vs ATL · 16.6 PROJ · 19.3 EST · low confidence
QB15▼ 6
flex
Joe Burrow
CIN · QB
Solid role, only 1 games of data.
CIN · vs JAX · 16.5 PROJ · 20.4 EST · low confidence
QB16▲ 10
flex
Daniel Jones
IND · QB
Offense implied for 30.5, only 1 games of data.
IND · @ WAS · 16.1 PROJ · 30.5 EST · low confidence
QB17▲ 1
flex
Bryce Young
CAR · QB
Solid role, only 1 games of data.
CAR · vs DET · 15.8 PROJ · 21.8 EST · low confidence
QB18▼ 1
flex
Baker Mayfield
TB · QB
Only 1 games of data.
TB · vs GB · 15.4 PROJ · 22.7 EST · low confidence

Tier 5

QB19▼ 4
sit
Dak Prescott
DAL · QB
Only 1 games of data.
DAL · @ HOU · 15.1 PROJ · 22.4 EST · low confidence

Tier 6

QB20▼ 4
sit
Jalen Hurts
PHI · QB
Solid role, only 1 games of data.
PHI · vs LA · 14.4 PROJ · 20.4 EST · low confidence

Tier 7

QB21▼ 1
sit
Kirk Cousins
LV · QB
Solid role, low-scoring spot (12.8 implied), only 1 games of data.
LV · vs KC · 13.3 PROJ · 12.8 EST · low confidence
QB22—
sit
Cam Ward
TEN · QB
Solid role, low-scoring spot (16.4 implied), only 1 games of data.
TEN · @ BAL · 13.3 PROJ · 16.4 EST · low confidence
QB23—
sit
Geno Smith
NYJ · QB
Only 1 games of data.
NYJ · @ CHI · 13.1 PROJ · 20.2 EST · low confidence
QB24▲ 6
sit
Trevor Lawrence
JAX · QB
Offense implied for 35.3, only 1 games of data.
JAX · @ CIN · 13.0 PROJ · 35.3 EST · low confidence

Tier 8

QB25—
sit
Malik Willis
MIA · QB
Solid role, low-scoring spot (16.8 implied), only 1 games of data.
MIA · @ MIN · 13.0 PROJ · 16.8 EST · low confidence
QB26▲ 3
sit
Carson Wentz
MIN · QB
Only 1 games of data.
MIN · vs MIA · 12.4 PROJ · 24.1 EST · low confidence
QB27▼ 6
sit
Justin Herbert
LAC · QB
Low-scoring spot (14.8 implied), only 1 games of data.
LAC · @ SEA · 12.3 PROJ · 14.8 EST · low confidence
QB28▼ 1
sit
Matthew Stafford
LA · QB
Only 1 games of data.
LA · @ PHI · 11.8 PROJ · 23.4 EST · low confidence
QB29▼ 5
sit
Bo Nix
DEN · QB
Only 1 games of data.
DEN · @ SF · 11.6 PROJ · 19.4 EST · low confidence
QB30▼ 2
sit
Deshaun Watson
CLE · QB
Low-scoring spot (15.2 implied), only 1 games of data.
CLE · vs PIT · 11.3 PROJ · 15.2 EST · low confidence
QB31—
sit
Drew Lock
SEA · QB
Thin usage, only 1 games of data.
SEA · vs LAC · 10.7 PROJ · 23.8 EST · low confidence
QB32—
sit
Cooper Rush
ATL · QB
Thin usage, only 1 games of data.
ATL · @ NO · 7.5 PROJ · 20.1 EST · low confidence
QB33—
sit
Kyler Murray
MIN · QB
Thin usage, only 1 games of data.
MIN · vs MIA · 3.2 PROJ · 24.1 EST · low confidence
QB34—
sit
Stetson Bennett
LA · QB
Thin usage, only 1 games of data.
LA · @ PHI · 1.3 PROJ · 23.4 EST · low confidence
QB35—
sit
Kenny Pickett
CAR · QB
Thin usage, only 1 games of data.
CAR · vs DET · 0.4 PROJ · 21.8 EST · low confidence
QB36—
sit
Nick Mullens
JAX · QB
Listed practice squad — not ranked to play.
JAX · @ CIN · 0.0 PROJ · 35.3 EST · low confidence
QB37—
sit
Sam Darnold
SEA · QB
Thin usage, only 1 games of data.
SEA · vs LAC · 0.0 PROJ · 23.8 EST · low confidence

Underlying NFL data via nflverse. Betting lines from Lee Sharpe's games file. Rankings are FantasyWeek.us originals.